Apr 20 2011

Corgon Liga Week 27 Preview

Published by at 2:40 pm under Domestic and tagged:

Last week’s Corgoň Liga preview didn’t turn out too embarrassingly, partly, it has to be said, because I didn’t actually make many concrete predictions, settling instead for  questions (real rather than rhetorical) such as ‘is this Dubnica’s chance to finally record that elusive first spring victory?‘ or tentative suggestions along the lines that ‘(Prešov) should see this fixture as an opportunity to earn at least a draw.‘ Still, the one result is that I’m happy to have another go ahead of the coming weekend’s games.

At the top of the league, Senica once again go first and thus have the opportunity to extend their lead, temporarily at least, to five points. They face Košice at home in front of the Digi Sport cameras on Friday night and, while the 0-0 draw against Dubnica in their previous home game might play on their minds a little, it’s difficult to imagine them being made to work unduly hard. To have any chance at all, Košice will need a more reliable goalkeeping performance than that produced last week by Darko Tofiloski, who made two horrendous mistakes to gift victory to Ružomberok. 2-0 to Senica I think.

Assuming that prediction is correct, Senica will then put their feet up on Saturday while Žilina and Slovan Bratislava go to work. Žilina travel to Ružomberok and will be concerned by the hosts‘ revival under Ladislav Jurkemík as well as by their own recent away form. They still seem the least convincing of the top three sides and I sense that this game could well finish in a draw. Slovan, meanwhile, are at Nitra. The home side probably need one more win to be absolutely safe from relegation but are unlikely to claim it in this game. Slovan’s Filip Šebo will extend his excellent run of goalscoring form and the points will return to the capital.

Banská Bystrica and Vion Zlaté Moravce, who play each other on Saturday, are two sides who will continue to believe that a fourth-placed finish to the season is a possibility. Bystrica have had a disappointing spring so far but appear to have more creative flair and goalscoring potential at their disposal than their visitors. Vion have had a fine season for a newly-promoted side but find it difficult to trouble the league’s better teams when, as is the case at present, they have key players missing. Expect Bystrica to win here and then go on a decent run over the season’s closing weeks.

Trnava v DAC Dunajská Streda is a meeting of two clubs whose amateurishness at boardroom level is being reflected by results on the field. Trnava fans, still angry at the sacking of Dušan Radolský, are boycotting home fixtures, the team can’t score goals away from home and an awful first-half saw them knocked out of the cup by Slovan on Tuesday. But DAC, like an injured rabbit far from the safety of its burrow, are easy prey for anyone at the moment. It won‘t mean much to the locals, but Trnava will prevail in this game.

The most interesting fixture is probably the one in Prešov, where Dubnica are the visitors. Dubnica finally managed to win last Saturday, after weeks of promising but unrewarding performances. Now, assuming Košice lose at Senica, this is their chance to drag themselves off the bottom of the league. A clean sheet – and they’ve kept five of those in their eight spring games – would do it, while an away win would cause renewed palpitations for Prešov. The eastern side took advantage of Vion being reduced to 10 men to earn a rare away victory last weekend and they will be desperate not to waste that good work on their own ground. I prefer to disregard the kind of rationality that suggests teams are usually where they deserve to be after 26 games and cling instead to a feeling that both Prešov and Dubnica are better than their league positions would indicate. I also think this meeting will result in a share of the points.

Finally, one thing that did take me by surprise last week was the number of goals ; a respectable 17 in the six fixtures. Hopefully that’s a trend that will continue.

James Baxter

3 responses so far

3 Responses to “Corgon Liga Week 27 Preview”

  1.   Mikeon 21 Apr 2011 at 9:16 pm

    It’s possible that the bottom three might all come away with nothing from the weekend, but although Tatran Prešov are value for the win Dubnica’s recent away form (four draws in the last six) casts enough doubt over that particular outcome. I think you’re spot on with Banska Bystrica and Trnava – good luck!

  2.   britksibelasion 21 Apr 2011 at 10:27 pm

    I normally steer clear of betting on draws, but where the Corgon Liga is concerned I always find myself tempted!
    I’m inclined to agree with most of James’ predictions, I think he is being slightly pessimistic where Zilina are concerned, I’m pretty confident Zilina will come away from Ruza with the points .. we’ll see

  3.   James Baxteron 21 Apr 2011 at 10:41 pm

    I did an accumulator based on these but finally went for draw or away win at Ruza, which reduces the odds a bit! Something will go wrong of course – it always does.

    Re Presov-Dubnica, agree with Mike’s comment. Dubnica are very solid at the moment. If Presov want to win, they’ll have to work for it.

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